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Ticket Method: Trend Pullback (EMA 50 Dynamic Retest)
Price breached stop loss (1.11593) at 22:30 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Decision support only · Copy levels manually · Platform-Review did not place or confirm a broker order.
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Personal planning record only · Not a broker order · Does not change the canonical ticket.
Closed M15 candle 2026-10-29 05:00 UTC (480/50 bars): M15 EMA 20 (1.11473) and EMA 50 (1.11462) are compressed (spread 0.00011 < 0.35 ATR) between support 1.11442 and resistance 1.11488.
Confirmed M15 swing high 1.11488 from M15 candle 2026-10-29 04:30 UTC (raw high 1.11488): a closed M15 bar above 1.11488 breaks range resistance.
Closed M15 bar (2026-10-29 05:00 UTC): bearish close at 1.11438 (range 0.00036, 0.68x ATR).
Watching Entry Retest: Potential BUY setup under Structural Reversal (Liquidity Sweep & CHoCH). Watching entry zone 1.11335–1.11626. Awaiting trigger: displacement fill. Not entered yet.
Daily (D1) and 4-hour (H4) trend for EUR/USD. Open a chart on demand; change the main chart timeframe with the selector above the chart.
D1 Resistance / Supply: 1.12643 – 1.12811
48 closed D1 bars plotted (100 total) · last bar 10-28 00:00 UTC
Active SELL ticket — select H4 above the main chart to see Entry, SL and targets.
48 closed H4 bars plotted (120 total) · last bar 10-29 01:00 UTC
Regime: Range / Reversal. Range exhaustion model active.
The six labelled points are plain readings of the plotted M15 candles (80 bars): trend, EMA 20/50, the 200 average, Bollinger bands, price structure and volatility. When a reading needs more history than exists it says “Awaiting data”. All other moving points and trails are decoration. They are not indicators, votes or a forecast, and no confidence or win-rate is estimated. The field does not appear in the X share image, which captures the chart only.
Price, EMA 20 and EMA 50 do not agree on one direction.
The two averages are almost on top of each other: no clear momentum.
Price is trading above the long-term average.
Price is inside the middle of the bands: no stretch either way.
Swing highs and lows are not moving together: range or transition.
Bars are smaller than recent average: the market is quiet.
Projected levels, drawn on the chart as PLANNED ENTRY / SL / TP. Not an entered or copyable trade until a verified ticket exists.
Only 4 verified closed tickets (1W / 3L (4 closed trades), −1.70R net) — too few to judge EURUSD M15. Currently under evaluation; results are shown as recorded, not as a proven signal to copy.
| Method | W/L Balance | Verified | W | L | Unk. | Net R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Structural Reversal (Liquidity Sweep & CHoCH)shown on charttoo few | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | −0.65R | |
| Trend Pullback (EMA 50 Dynamic Retest)too few | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1.05R | |
| Breakout & Retest (FVG)too few | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | n/a |
Price reached TP1 (1.12056) at 10:30 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss (1.12338) at 03:00 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss (1.11593) at 22:30 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss (1.11962) at 13:00 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
H4 range reached TP1. Observed 2026-10-27T13:00Z. R is before spread/commission (no cost model).
Entry verified on H1 bar 2026-10-22T17:00Z, but H1 holding window (24 closed H1 bars) elapsed after verified entry without reaching SL (1.12564) or TP1 (1.11879); no time-exit fill price is modeled from OHLC. Observed 2026-10-23T17:00Z. Concluded as EXIT_UNKNOWN / OUTCOME_UNVERIFIED (excluded from wins, losses, and net R).
H1 range reached the stop. Observed 2026-10-22T10:00Z. R is before spread/commission (no cost model).
Your saved reasoning beside immutable canonical outcomes.
| Announced (UTC) | Record Type | Direction | Entry Mid | Stop Loss | Target 1 | Status | Net Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | 1.12225 | 1.12338 | 1.12056 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |
| 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | 1.12225 | 1.12338 | 1.12056 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | 1.11528 | 1.11593 | 1.11430 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | 1.11890 | 1.11962 | 1.11782 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |