Ticket Method: Trend Pullback (EMA 50 Dynamic Retest)
Price reached TP1 (A$0.69877) at 00:15 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Decision support only · Copy levels manually · Platform-Review did not place or confirm a broker order.
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Personal planning record only · Not a broker order · Does not change the canonical ticket.
Closed M15 candle 2026-10-29 05:00 UTC (480/50 bars): M15 bullish EMA stack (EMA 20 0.70533 > EMA 50 0.70503) is in pullback/transition with close at 0.70521 testing below EMA 20.
Confirmed M15 swing low 0.70507 from M15 candle 2026-10-29 03:30 UTC (raw low 0.70507): a closed M15 bar below 0.70507 breaks range support (confirmed range resistance ceiling at 0.70582 from 2026-10-29 03:00 UTC).
Closed M15 bar (2026-10-29 05:00 UTC): bullish close at 0.70521 (range 0.00024, 0.56x ATR); wick-tested swing low 0.70507 and rejected back to 0.70521.
Watching Entry Retest: Potential BUY setup under Trend Pullback (EMA 50 Dynamic Retest). Watching entry zone 0.70360–0.70553. Awaiting trigger: displacement fill. Not entered yet.
Daily (D1) and 4-hour (H4) trend for AUD/USD. Open a chart on demand; change the main chart timeframe with the selector above the chart.
Active BUY ticket — select D1 above the main chart to see Entry, SL and targets.
48 closed D1 bars plotted (100 total) · last bar 10-28 00:00 UTC
Watching a possible BUY setup — not entered, not copyable.
48 closed H4 bars plotted (120 total) · last bar 10-29 01:00 UTC
Regime: Trend Continuation. Trend filter active on EMA 20/50.
The six labelled points are plain readings of the plotted M15 candles (80 bars): trend, EMA 20/50, the 200 average, Bollinger bands, price structure and volatility. When a reading needs more history than exists it says “Awaiting data”. All other moving points and trails are decoration. They are not indicators, votes or a forecast, and no confidence or win-rate is estimated. The field does not appear in the X share image, which captures the chart only.
Price, EMA 20 and EMA 50 do not agree on one direction.
The two averages are almost on top of each other: no clear momentum.
Price is trading above the long-term average.
Price is inside the middle of the bands: no stretch either way.
Swing highs and lows are not moving together: range or transition.
Bars are smaller than recent average: the market is quiet.
Projected levels, drawn on the chart as PLANNED ENTRY / SL / TP. Not an entered or copyable trade until a verified ticket exists.
Only 5 verified closed tickets (4W / 1L (5 closed trades), +4.75R net) — too few to judge AUDUSD M15. Currently under evaluation; results are shown as recorded, not as a proven signal to copy.
Earlier records without stored entry evidence (not counted above): 0 W / 1 L, −1.05R as originally recorded.
| Method | W/L Balance | Verified | W | L | Unk. | Net R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Structural Reversal (Liquidity Sweep & CHoCH)too few | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1.85R | |
| Trend Pullback (EMA 50 Dynamic Retest)shown on charttoo few | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2.90R | |
| Breakout & Retest (FVG)too few | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | n/a |
Price reached TP1 (0.69147) at 14:30 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss (0.69439) at 06:45 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 (0.69609) at 00:45 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 (0.69728) at 20:15 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss (A$0.69531) at 21:45 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 (A$0.69877) at 00:15 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Breakout & Retest (D1 FVG): D1 close triggered Entry at 0.70024 (Yahoo Finance (1h chart API)). Stop at 0.68919, targets TP1–3 defined.
H1 range reached the stop. Observed 2026-10-23T13:00Z. R is before spread/commission (no cost model).
H1 range reached TP1. Observed 2026-10-22T12:00Z. R is before spread/commission (no cost model).
Your saved reasoning beside immutable canonical outcomes.
1 of 6 are earlier records without stored entry evidence (0W / 1L, -1.05R); they are not counted in Recorded Results above.
| Announced (UTC) | Record Type | Direction | Entry Mid | Stop Loss | Target 1 | Status | Net Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 13:45 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | BUY | 0.69009 | 0.68917 | 0.69147 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |
| 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | BUY | 0.69507 | 0.69439 | 0.69609 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | 0.69735 | 0.69819 | 0.69609 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |
| 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | BUY | 0.69588 | 0.69495 | 0.69728 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |
| 2026-10-12 21:15 UTC | EARLIER RECORD (UNVERIFIED) | BUY | 0.69593 | 0.69531 | 0.69686 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-11 22:00 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | BUY | 0.69779 | 0.69714 | 0.69877 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |