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Ticket Method: Structural Reversal (Liquidity Sweep & CHoCH)
Price breached stop loss (0.56186) at 02:15 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Decision support only · Copy levels manually · Platform-Review did not place or confirm a broker order.
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Personal planning record only · Not a broker order · Does not change the canonical ticket.
Closed M15 candle 2026-10-29 05:00 UTC (480/50 bars): M15 EMA 20 (0.56222) and EMA 50 (0.56227) are compressed (spread 0.00005 < 0.35 ATR) between support 0.56175 and resistance 0.56237.
Confirmed M15 swing low 0.56175 from M15 candle 2026-10-29 03:30 UTC (raw low 0.56175): a closed M15 bar below 0.56175 breaks range support (confirmed range resistance ceiling at 0.56237 from 2026-10-29 04:30 UTC).
Closed M15 bar (2026-10-29 05:00 UTC): bullish close at 0.56200 (range 0.00027, 0.63x ATR).
Watching Entry Retest: Potential BUY setup under Trend Pullback (EMA 50 Dynamic Retest). Watching entry zone 0.56198–0.56353. Awaiting trigger: displacement fill. Not entered yet.
Daily (D1) and 4-hour (H4) trend for NZD/USD. Open a chart on demand; change the main chart timeframe with the selector above the chart.
Active BUY ticket — select D1 above the main chart to see Entry, SL and targets.
48 closed D1 bars plotted (100 total) · last bar 10-28 00:00 UTC
Active SELL ticket — select H4 above the main chart to see Entry, SL and targets.
48 closed H4 bars plotted (120 total) · last bar 10-29 01:00 UTC
Regime: Trend Continuation. Trend filter active on EMA 20/50.
The six labelled points are plain readings of the plotted M15 candles (80 bars): trend, EMA 20/50, the 200 average, Bollinger bands, price structure and volatility. When a reading needs more history than exists it says “Awaiting data”. All other moving points and trails are decoration. They are not indicators, votes or a forecast, and no confidence or win-rate is estimated. The field does not appear in the X share image, which captures the chart only.
Price, EMA 20 and EMA 50 do not agree on one direction.
The two averages are almost on top of each other: no clear momentum.
Price is trading above the long-term average.
Price is inside the middle of the bands: no stretch either way.
The last two swing highs and lows are both falling.
Bars are smaller than recent average: the market is quiet.
Projected levels, drawn on the chart as PLANNED ENTRY / SL / TP. Not an entered or copyable trade until a verified ticket exists.
Only 2 verified closed tickets (0W / 2L (2 closed trades), −2.10R net) — too few to judge NZDUSD M15. Currently under evaluation; results are shown as recorded, not as a proven signal to copy.
| Method | W/L Balance | Verified | W | L | Unk. | Net R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Structural Reversal (Liquidity Sweep & CHoCH)too few | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | −2.10R | |
| Breakout & Retest (FVG)too few | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | n/a |
Price breached stop loss (0.56313) at 03:00 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss (0.56186) at 02:15 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Breakout & Retest (H4 FVG): H4 close triggered Entry at 0.56509 (Yahoo Finance (1h chart API)). Stop at 0.57127, targets TP1–3 defined.
H1 range reached the stop. Observed 2026-10-26T13:00Z. R is before spread/commission (no cost model).
Entry verified on H4 bar 2026-10-21T01:00Z, but H4 holding window (18 closed H4 bars) elapsed after verified entry without reaching SL (0.56502) or TP1 (0.57112); no time-exit fill price is modeled from OHLC. Observed 2026-10-26T05:00Z. Concluded as EXIT_UNKNOWN / OUTCOME_UNVERIFIED (excluded from wins, losses, and net R).
Your saved reasoning beside immutable canonical outcomes.
| Announced (UTC) | Record Type | Direction | Entry Mid | Stop Loss | Target 1 | Status | Net Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | 0.56219 | 0.56313 | 0.56078 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | 0.56073 | 0.56186 | 0.55903 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |