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Closed M15 candle 2026-10-29 04:15 UTC (480/50 bars): M15 close ($53.147) holds below falling EMA 20 ($53.522) < EMA 50 ($53.686).
Confirmed M15 swing high $53.725 from M15 candle 2026-10-29 03:00 UTC (raw high 53.725): a closed M15 bar above $53.725 breaks the M15 DOWNTREND structure.
Closed M15 bar (2026-10-29 04:15 UTC): bearish close at $53.147 (range $0.088, 0.25x ATR).
Scanning M15 Structure: Price is currently 0.5 pips away from EMA 50 (53.686). Awaiting dynamic retest.
Daily (D1) and 4-hour (H4) trend for XAG/USD. Open a chart on demand; change the main chart timeframe with the selector above the chart.
Chart available — AI analysis needs 60 closed D1 bars (12 so far).
12 closed D1 bars plotted (12 total) · last bar 10-28 00:00 UTC
Chart available — AI analysis needs 120 closed H4 bars (75 so far).
48 closed H4 bars plotted (75 total) · last bar 10-28 22:00 UTC
Regime: Trend Continuation. Trend filter active on EMA 20/50.
The six labelled points are plain readings of the plotted M15 candles (80 bars): trend, EMA 20/50, the 200 average, Bollinger bands, price structure and volatility. When a reading needs more history than exists it says “Awaiting data”. All other moving points and trails are decoration. They are not indicators, votes or a forecast, and no confidence or win-rate is estimated. The field does not appear in the X share image, which captures the chart only.
Price is below EMA 50, EMA 20 is below EMA 50 and the slope is not rising.
The fast average sits below the slow one: momentum leans down.
Price is trading below the long-term average.
Price is pressing the lower band: stretched downward, not a signal by itself.
The last two swing highs and lows are both falling.
Bars are larger than recent average: moves are faster and stops need more room.
No Entry, SL or TP is drawn because no verified ticket exists.
Only 15 verified closed tickets (9W / 6L (15 closed trades), +6.75R net) — too few to judge XAGUSD M15. Currently under evaluation; results are shown as recorded, not as a proven signal to copy.
Earlier records without stored entry evidence (not counted above): 0 W / 5 L, −5.25R as originally recorded.
| Method | W/L Balance | Verified | W | L | Unk. | Net R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Structural Reversal (Liquidity Sweep & CHoCH)too few | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | −0.90R | |
| Trend Pullback (EMA 50 Dynamic Retest)shown on charttoo few | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6.20R | |
| Breakout & Retest (FVG)too few | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.45R |
Price reached TP1 ($57.914) at 04:00 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 ($57.459) at 02:45 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 ($57.459) at 02:45 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 ($57.307) at 01:15 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss ($57.373) at 19:45 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss ($57.143) at 14:45 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss ($56.959) at 13:30 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss ($56.959) at 13:30 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 ($56.472) at 12:45 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 ($56.472) at 12:45 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss ($56.804) at 09:45 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss ($56.189) at 07:15 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 ($55.853) at 04:00 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 ($55.920) at 02:45 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 ($59.006) at 06:00 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Entry zone and stop loss/target both touched in same M15 bar. Execution sequence cannot be confirmed without tick data.
Price breached stop loss ($60.335) at 03:30 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss ($60.220) at 16:00 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss ($60.295) at 14:30 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price breached stop loss ($60.404) at 13:15 UTC. Realized loss -1.0R gross (-1.05R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 ($57.914) at 04:00 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 ($57.459) at 02:45 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Price reached TP1 ($57.459) at 02:45 UTC. Capital de-risked at +1.5R gross (+1.45R net after modeled 0.05R friction).
Your saved reasoning beside immutable canonical outcomes.
5 of 20 are earlier records without stored entry evidence (0W / 5L, -5.25R); they are not counted in Recorded Results above.
| Announced (UTC) | Record Type | Direction | Entry Mid | Stop Loss | Target 1 | Status | Net Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 02:45 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | BUY | $57.335 | $56.949 | $57.914 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |
| 2026-10-16 02:00 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | BUY | $57.186 | $57.004 | $57.459 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |
| 2026-10-16 01:15 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | BUY | $57.186 | $57.004 | $57.459 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |
| 2026-10-16 00:15 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | BUY | $57.122 | $56.999 | $57.307 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |
| 2026-10-15 15:30 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | $57.124 | $57.373 | $56.751 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-15 13:45 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | $56.793 | $57.143 | $56.268 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-15 13:15 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | $56.696 | $56.959 | $56.301 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | $56.696 | $56.959 | $56.301 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-15 11:30 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | $56.760 | $56.952 | $56.472 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |
| 2026-10-15 10:15 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | $56.760 | $56.952 | $56.472 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |
| 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | $56.606 | $56.804 | $56.309 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | $56.039 | $56.189 | $55.814 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | $56.198 | $56.428 | $55.853 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |
| 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | $56.221 | $56.422 | $55.920 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |
| 2026-10-14 02:45 UTC | VERIFIED LIVE (M15) | SELL | $59.225 | $59.371 | $59.006 | Target 1 Reached (+1.45R Net) | +1.45R |
| 2026-10-13 02:15 UTC | EARLIER RECORD (UNVERIFIED) | SELL | $60.191 | $60.335 | $59.975 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-12 15:15 UTC | EARLIER RECORD (UNVERIFIED) | BUY | $60.392 | $60.220 | $60.650 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | EARLIER RECORD (UNVERIFIED) | BUY | $60.568 | $60.295 | $60.977 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | EARLIER RECORD (UNVERIFIED) | BUY | $60.581 | $60.404 | $60.847 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |
| 2026-10-12 06:45 UTC | EARLIER RECORD (UNVERIFIED) | BUY | $60.863 | $60.638 | $61.201 | Stop Loss Hit (-1.05R Net) | -1.05R |